CrowdThnk’s Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. What does the scale for the Positioning Score represent?
The CrowdThnk Positioning Score Scale ranges from 0 to 10 with 0 representing low-conviction or under-weight consensus positioning and 10 indicative of overcrowded consensus positioning. The low end of the Positioning Score Scale signifies the market may be short the stock on a speculative basis or underweight due to poor fundamentals and lack of institutional support. The high end of the Positioning Score Scale represents extreme bullishness on a particular stock, supported by real, actively held positions by investors. All scores are relative to historical positioning in each stock as relative rather than absolute positioning is more predictive in determining where the stock price will head in the future.
2. Why has it historically been difficult to measure Consensus Market Positioning?
Positioning Data – defined as the aggregate sum of investor positioning across multiple channels – is a very difficult reading to measure given the disparity between information and datasets. Many large custodian firms who act as a clearing broker can only view a certain segment of the equity flow as they don’t cover all clients in the stock market. Additionally, many investors do not willingly disclose their positions without receiving a tangible value in return, making it difficult to aggregate consensus positioning. It is only with a combination of crowdsourcing, Big Data and Machine Learning that CrowdThnk can quantify and accurate assessment of the entire stock market positioning landscape. We believe we’re at the forefront of this new, cutting-edge approach to measuring stock market positioning.
3. How Does Market Positioning Impact Stock Prices?
Market Positioning is frequently a driving factor impacting the movement of stock prices. CrowdThnk gives users a unique insight into market mechanics by accurately revealing the market’s consensus positioning on a particular stock. Frequently, extreme measures in positioning can lead to volatile price swings. By incorporating CrowdThnk’s Positioning Scores in your investment process, you will have a better understanding of this previously-unquantifiable market risk. Fundamentals and catalysts will ultimately move stock prices in the long term but one-sided positioning and sentiment can move markets in the shorter term.
4. What is unique about CrowdThnk?
CrowdThnk is a pioneer in quantifying and measuring consensus market positioning amongst its peers utilizing big data and machine learning technology to an extent heretofore unseen in accuracy and impact. Other publications and news outlets may attempt to aggregate various slices of positioning within the entire investment universe but CrowdThnk’s unique platform incorporates an all-encompassing picture of the investment landscape by employing crowdsourced positioning data combined with publicly available information to give you a quantifiable market edge.
5. What is the historical accuracy of CrowdThnk’s Forecasts?
CrowdThnk has varying accuracy depending on each individual stock but the stocks that are included amongst our Weekly High Conviction Forecasts have garnered a strong historical accuracy for correctly signaling the future market direction over the following week. These represent our Strongest Conviction Forecasts based on the unique market metrics and consensus market positioning level of each particular stock. These signals are based on historical results, which are not necessarily indicative of future performance, however. Premium Subscribers will be able to follow and track these forecasts directly on a weekly basis.
6. What is difference between Basic and Premium services?
There are a few relevant differences between CrowdThnk’s Basic and Premium services. The Basic account service includes the ability to view CrowdThnk’s Positioning Scores of all 500 Stocks, including a user-defined Stock Watch List of up to 20 stocks. In addition, Basic users will receive CrowdThnk’s weekly summary, recapping the week’s stock market action and reviewing CrowdThnk’s weekly High Conviction Forecasts. Premium subscribers will receive everything in the Basic package in addition to CrowdThnk’s proprietary forecasts for all 500 stocks, where applicable. In addition, Premium account holders will receive CrowdThnk’s Week Ahead Preview of CrowdThnk’s Highest Conviction Recommendations, detailing the handful of stocks we believe have the highest probability of moving up or down over the coming week. Your investment in CrowdThnk’s Premium Service may eventually pay for itself with our high conviction forecasts.
7. What happens after my Free, 1-Month CrowdThnk Trial?
After signing up for our free service, you will receive access to our Basic Subscription 30 days after you initially sign up for our service. If you would like to discontinue our service, you must opt out of this contract before the 30 days of free service expires before being automatically billed. Your credit card on file will be billed each month after your subscription starts unless enrolled in the Yearly plan in which case you’ll be billed annually.
8. How often will I be asked to enter my positioning scores?
To minimize users’ effort while maintaining accuracy of positioning measurements, CrowdThnk only asks for your positioning scores once every week. If you have not entered your positioning scores in the given week, starting Sunday, we will prompt you to enter your new positioning score before proceeding to the data.
9. Is the data I entered on CrowdThnk confidential?
10. Can the Market Positioning data on CrowdThnk be downloaded?
CrowdThnk utilizes sophisticated Big Data techniques and Machine Learning algorithms to compute Market Consensus Positioning and forecast Future Price Movement. However, the data is not currently available for downloading for confidentiality purposes.
11. What is the purpose of the Stock Watch List?
The Stock Watch list is designed to allow users to easily track the positioning scores for stocks they’re most interested in following. We allow Basic and Premium subscribers to follow up to 20 Stocks at a time. Additionally, a user can always add or delete more stocks according to their preferences by inserting or removing the stocks in the Search Field. Users will be able to view the Positioning Score and Historical Price Chart for their particular stock.
12. What are the main benefits of signing up for the Corporate Account?
In addition to receiving 5 premium accounts to be distributed amongst your team, you’ll have the ability to interact directly with the CrowdThnk team on a bi-weekly basis. Once you have signed up, we’ll contact you to set-up an initial conversation and coordinate the best times that work for your team. Conversations are open-ended and we can answer any questions pertaining to our service with the exception of proprietary, confidential information. CrowdThnk’s team is comprised of former Hedge Fund managers and Big Data Scientists, providing you rich insights into our platform and service.
13. How are payment issues handled?
All payment issues are handled by our secure, third-party provider, Stripe. Stripe is a leading payment management system, delivering secure payments at low fees. If there are any erroneous charges, payment issues will be handled directly between Stripe and your Bank.
14. Why can’t my recipient find the email I have sent him from CrowdThnk?
If your recipient uses Gmail or another Email Platform that filters “Primary” mail from “Promotional” mail, your recipient might find that email in his “Promotions” Tab in his Inbox. We have strived to configure our mailing system to bypass these filters to be received in the “Primary” Tab but Google often changes their algorithms. If your recipient still can’t locate the email, we’d suggest sending another one.
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