CrowdThnk

Find out the market consensus positioning on your favorite stocks.

Start free trial

See the Market. See the Future.

Actionable Market Insights Harnessing the Wisdom of Crowds

CrowdThnk is an investment research platform providing quantified market positioning data on financial stocks.

Our Methodology

Crowdsource Market
Positioning

Image not Found

CrowdThnk surveys financial market participants weekly, collecting insights into what positions investors currently hold in their portfolios. In addition, we accumulate unique insights from other publicly Read more

Aggregate & Analyze with
Big Data

Image not Found

CrowdThnk utilizes cutting-edge Big Data technology combined with Machine Learning Algorithms to process and analyze our crowdsourced datasets, truly harnessing the power behind the Wisdom Read more

Forecast Future Market
Direction

Image not Found

CrowdThnk publishes weekly stock market positioning scores for over 500 companies, providing a method for investors to quantify what historically has been an abstract and difficult-to-measure metric. Read more

Harnessing the Wisdom of the Crowds in Action:
CrowdThnk Case Studies

CrowdThnk forecasts future price movements by harnessing the wisdom of the crowds. That is, by quantifying and knowing what a stock’s current consensus positioning is, we gain insight to where that stock is going. This is particularly effective during extreme points along the Positioning Score scale, close to 0 or 10, whereby an overcrowded or under-positioned stock may demonstrate distinct, predictable probabilities in terms of future price action. It’s noteworthy that each stock exhibits unique characteristics with respect to positioning, a factor CrowdThnk takes into account using Big Data. These are a few historical case studies in which CrowdThnk has correctly forecasted the future during times of extended positioning, leading to superior investment returns for our customers.

NLSN - Nielsen Holdings PLC

Image not Found
Image not Found

Overcrowded Short/Underweight Positioning Stock Price Sharply Rebounds and Rallies

On Oct 13th 2017, CrowdThnk measured Nielsen’s stock (NYSE Ticker: NLSN) positioning to be 2.86, meaning market consensus was very short, reflecting the market’s underweight positioning in Nielsen. However, CrowdThnk’s proprietary algorithm forecasted the stock price would go up in the following week with high conviction. One week after, Nielsen’s stock price went from $39.7 to $41.76 (+5.19% up move), leading to significant gains for investors looking to pick a bottom. Read more

LUV - Southwest Airlines Co

Image not Found
Image not Found

Overcrowded Long/Overweight Positioning Stock Price Continues Rallying

On May 16th 2014, CrowdThnk measured Southwest Airlines’ stock (NYSE Ticker: LUV) positioning to be 9.64, meaning market consensus was extremely long. Even though market consensus was overcrowded to the long side, CrowdThnk’s proprietary algorithm forecasted the stock price would continue to go up in the following week with high conviction. Within one week of CrowdThnk’s forecast, Southwest Airlines’ stock price rallied significantly from $24.61 to $25.79 (+4.80% up move). Read more

HCA - HCA Healthcare Inc

Image not Found
Image not Found

Overcrowded Long/Overweight Positioning Stock Price Reverses and Falls

On Feb 15th 2013, CrowdThnk measured HCA Healthcare’s stock (NYSE Ticker: HCA) positioning to be 8.57, meaning market consensus was very long. This overcrowded positioning is frequently dangerous for stocks that exhibit a mean-reverting tendency. CrowdThnk’s proprietary algorithm forecasted the stock price would drop in the following week with high conviction. One week after, HCA Healthcare’s stock price fell from $36.28 to $35.21 (-2.95% down move) as overcrowded positioning reversed course. Read more

KO - Coca-Cola Co/The

Image not Found
Image not Found

Overcrowded Short/Underweight Positioning Stock Price Sharply Rebounds and Rallies

On Dec 2nd 2016, CrowdThnk measured Coca-Cola’s stock (NYSE Ticker: KO) positioning to be 0.0, meaning market consensus was extremely short. This reading lies at the very bottom of CrowdThnk’s 0 to 10 scale, reflecting the market’s underweight positioning in Coca-Cola. However, CrowdThnk’s proprietary algorithm forecasted the stock price would go up in the following week with high conviction. One week after, Coca-Cola’s stock price went from $40.36 to $42 (+4.08% up move), leading to significant gains for investors looking to pick a bottom. Read more

PSX - Phillips 66

Image not Found
Image not Found

Overcrowded Short/Underweight Positioning Stock Price Continues to Decline

On Oct 31st 2014, CrowdThnk measured Phillips 66’s stock (NYSE Ticker: PSX) positioning to be 3.21, meaning market consensus was very short and underweight, indicative of the market’s negative reflection on the stock. CrowdThnk’s proprietary algorithm forecasted the stock price would continue to drop in the following week with high conviction. One week after, Phillips 66’s stock price went from $78.5 to $74.7 (-4.88% down move), continuing the stock price decline lower.Read more